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Index Funds: General Information
On
Sunday, we held a seminar in the conference room of New Life Radio.
It was attended by a surprisingly large audience and, I hope, was
interesting and useful to all. During this seminar, I made several
references to Index Funds, noting that they are comprised of stocks
that, in the same proportion, make up indexes such as the S&P
500.
As
opposed to regular fund managers, who spend their time analyzing and
searching for stocks that, in their opinion, could perform especially
well, Index Fund managers are content with copying existing indexes.
This brings up a question: how could the slackers managing Index
Funds (and these funds are called just that, “passively
managed”) compete with regular, active funds? It seems to
contradict all common sense. And immediately, another question comes
to mind: which of these funds are better? Let us go through these
questions one at a time.
Index
Funds appeared a fairly long time ago, in the early 1970s. One of
the first was an Index Fund launched by the Vanguard company. It was
created by the famed investor John Bogle. At first, Index Fund
managers simply tried to build portfolios out of stocks that make up
the index: for example, the S&P 500 includes the companies 3M,
Abbott, Alcoa, etc., and so they purchased 1,000 shares each of 3M,
Abbott, Alcoa, etc., thus making up their Index Fund. But it soon
became apparent that such funds are incredibly inefficient. You may
remember that some time ago, when discussing risk, we tried to
compare the risk and return of well-diversified and
poorly-diversified portfolios. We mentioned that poorly-diversified
portfolios were riskier (they had a greater variability of return),
while failing to compensate by way of additional returns. Well, it
turned out that the first Index Funds built from the same number of
shares for each company were inefficient and, despite the large
number of different stocks involved, poorly diversified.
Fortunately, analysts soon figured out what was wrong and how to
rectify the situation. It became clear that Index Funds should not
be built from the same number of shares, but from a number of shares
proportional to each company’s market
weight. In practice,
it is very inconvenient to use the “whole market” for
these calculations, which is why the S&P 500 is used in its
place. And there are good reasons for doing so: although the S&P
500 has only 500 of the several thousand companies traded on the US
markets, the market value of all shares in its index represents about
80 percent of all shares traded in the United States. Which is why,
quite often, when talking about the “whole market,” the
financial world refers to the S&P 500 instead. So, after
managers started building portfolios on a market-weighted basis,
these became far more efficient, with results comparable to those of
actively managed funds.
How
could this be? The answer is based on two factors. The first is
that, in reality, the active fund managers’ ability to pinpoint
fast-growing stocks is very limited. Professor Burton Malkiel, a
famous financial markets analyst, once wrote that if one were to pin
a table of stock quotes from The Wall Street Journal to the wall, let
a monkey throw a few darts at it and then select the stocks it hits,
the resulting portfolio would perform no worse than a portfolio
created by the most experienced Wall Street analyst. As far as I
know, no one has ever actually performed the monkey experiment. But
the idea that a market is efficient, in a sense that all of the
information available about stocks is already incorporated into the
stock price, and that there is little analysts could add to this, is
one of the most basic in financial science. We will talk more about
market efficiency at a later time, but if you are interested in
reading some Malkiel, the Articles section of our site features one
of his wonderful pieces. You may read it here.
The
second reason why Index Funds often bring better returns than
actively-managed ones is that they are usually much cheaper. We
discussed Mutual Fund fees and expenses in one of our previous
programs. Since Index Funds are passive, i.e. its managers do not
have to keep up a constant search for new stocks, their expenses are
very low. As I have already mentioned, expenses of the Vanguard
group Index Fund are just 0.18 percent, while active funds sometimes
charge as much as 2.5 percent.
These
two factors – that active fund managers can rarely identify
stock “winners,” but still charge fairly large fees for
their work – result in Index Funds often outperforming active
funds. The Standard and Poor’s company compiles a statistic
comparing Index Fund performances to those of actively managed ones.
We will discuss this, as well as the other types of Index Funds, in
our next program.
Do
you use Index Funds? Should you be? You should discuss these
questions with your investment adviser. By the way, a couple of
words about investment advisers: I was asked a lot of questions after
the seminar, one of which was: how have my clients’ portfolios
performed? I am not allowed to discuss client portfolios, and they
are all different, but you may find a Portfolios
page on my site. It features several models that are based on
principles that I use in my work with clients. I think you may be
interested in taking a look. All of the data are real and updated
daily.
This
was Sergey Zaks. Thank you for your attention and until next time.
©2007 Zaks Investment Advisory Service, LLC. All rights reserved.
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