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About Closed-End Funds, the Mystery of Discounts, and Arbitrage
Imagine
that you are sitting in front of a box with a $100 bill locked inside
it. The box owner offers to sell you the box for $80. You agree,
but after a while you decide that you really have no need for a box
with a locked bill, and you sell it on to someone else for the same
$80. A similar situation occurs with Closed-End Funds. We talked
about them in our last program. I mentioned how when they are
created, Closed-End Funds issue a certain amount of shares in an
Initial Public Offering. They use that money to purchase securities
matching the fund’s investment policy. In contrast to Mutual
Funds, the number of shares in a Closed-End Fund is constant; they
are traded on the open market, and investors buy its shares from each
on the open market: when one investor buys the shares, that means
another one sells them. Closed-End Funds are a fairly rare type of
financial instrument: as we mentioned, there are only about 700 of
them (as opposed to 8,000 “regular” Mutual Funds).
Nevertheless, Closed-End Funds, in a certain sense, are very
interesting instruments. They represent a paradox that contradicts
our understanding of how financial markets function.
The
fact of the matter is that share prices of Closed-End Fund usually
differ from the Net Asset Value of the fund itself. The Net Asset
Value (NAV for short) is the value of all of the fund’s assets
(i.e. in practice, the value of all of the fund’s securities)
minus the value of all of its liabilities, i.e. the things that the
fund so-to-speak “owes.” Funds have very few debts
compared to assets: payments to fund managers, current employee
salaries, etc. This is relative small-change compared to the fund’s
assets (which on average stand at hundreds of millions of dollars),
so that the fund’s NAV is usually close to the value of all of
its purchased securities. Let us imagine that for a single share of
the fund, the NAV comes to $100, i.e. the fund has about $100 of
securities per share. Meanwhile on the open market, these shares are
traded at $85, i.e. “at a discount” of 15 percent. In
case of our example, the $100 NAV is the $100 bill, and a share of
the fund is the box in which the bill is locked.
A
paradoxical situation occurs: the fund’s share represents the
aggregate of securities worth $100, for which no one wants to pay
more than $85. And the seller agrees to this price. In other words,
something that theoretically costs $100 is bought and sold at $85!
This sounds unreasonable and completely fails to fit with our
understanding of how financial markets function.
By
the way, last time I mentioned a fund, Templeton Russia Funds (TRF),
which mostly invests in shares of Russian companies. TRF is rather
unusual in a sense that its price often exceeds that of its NAV, i.e.
it sells “at a premium.” Usually Closed-End Funds sell
at a price below their NAV, i.e. “at a discount.” In
recent years, the discount of a Closed-End Fund on average stood at
15 percent. It is not uncommon for the discount or premium to reach
40 percent or even more.
This
situation is so unusual that many researchers have tried their hand
at explaining why the market price should differ so much from the
NAV, and also why, on average, Closed-End Funds sell at a discount.
Many
ideas were proposed, both economic and behavioral in nature. They
usually came down to problems related to the fund’s taxes,
manager compensation, and those managers’ reluctance to close
the Closed-End funds, selling their assets and returning the money to
shareholders. Unfortunately, each of these theories has its flaws,
and none of them completely explains the discount phenomenon. The
behavior of Closed-End Funds remains a mystery to this day.
We,
investors, are less interested in theory than the very fact that
there is a difference between the NAV and the price, whether at a
discount or premium. So a question arises: is it somehow possible to
take advantage of this? It sounds very tempting: for example, to buy
shares of some Closed-End Fund at $80 at a time when its NAV is $100,
and then try to find a way of earning the $20 difference.
An
attempt to earn money off temporary fluctuations in price is called
arbitrage. Arbitrage is a very important concept. Thanks to
arbitrage, stock and bond prices behave in a “reasonable”
manner. Here is an example of arbitrage: suppose that IBM shares
cost $105 in New York and $110 in London. Arbitrageurs would start
buying up the IBM shares in New York and selling them in London. As
a result, the IBM shares in New York would start gaining value while
those in London – losing it. This would be happening until the
two prices even out.
Despite
the obvious spread in price between fund shares and those shares’
asset value, no real opportunity for arbitrage has yet been found.
And this is understandable: if it were easy to conduct arbitrage,
then there would be no premium or discount. Nevertheless,
interesting Closed-End Fund investment strategies do exist.
With
this we will have to close for the day. This was Sergey Zaks. Thank
you for your attention and until next time.
©2007 Zaks Investment Advisory Service, LLC. All rights reserved.
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